According to Charlie Bilello, market pricing implies 25 bps cuts in December 2025, April 2026, and July 2026, with holds in January, March, and June 2026, outlining the current path for the Fed funds rate cycle (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Nov 11, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter). Bilello reports the target range would step down to 3.50-3.75 percent in December 2025, 3.25-3.50 percent in April 2026, and 3.00-3.25 percent by July 2026, reflecting a gradual easing cadence (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Nov 11, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter). For crypto traders, the highlighted FOMC windows concentrate macro event risk in December 2025, April 2026, and July 2026, providing clear calendar anchors for BTC and ETH positioning and volatility hedging into those meetings (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Nov 11, 2025; bilello.blog/newsletter).

According to @business, Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh said Vietnam’s economy must expand at least 8.4% in the final quarter for the country to meet the government’s 2025 growth target of above 8%, setting a high bar for late-year macro prints that traders will track closely. Source: Bloomberg/@business. For trading, the stated 8.4% Q4 hurdle spotlights event risk around Vietnam-linked markets including the VND, VN30 Index futures, and the VNM ETF, while broader EM risk appetite and crypto market sentiment often react to upside or downside surprises versus such official growth thresholds. Source: Bloomberg/@business.

According to the source, Polymarket pricing shows an 83% market-implied probability that the U.S. government shutdown extends past Oct 15 as of Oct 8, 2025, signaling elevated event risk into mid-October for market participants. Source: Polymarket market data.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin (BTC) sold off following the most recent U.S. CPI releases, signaling elevated event risk for traders seeking to manage drawdowns and slippage around macro data (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 11, 2025). CPI is released monthly at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, and macro prints at this time often trigger outsized volatility across risk assets including BTC, so reducing leverage and position size into the release is a common risk control (source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; source: CME Group education). Liquidity often thins and spreads widen in the seconds around the print, making limit orders and predefined levels preferable to market orders during the initial move (source: CME Group education). For options traders, implied volatility tends to rise into CPI and can compress after the release, so checking IV versus realized and using defined-risk structures is key when considering straddles or strangles (source: Deribit Insights; source: CME options education). Directional traders can wait for BTC to reclaim the pre-CPI VWAP or break the first 5–15 minute range before adding risk to reduce whipsaw exposure during the data digestion (source: CME Group trading education).